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Anthropic CEO Warns of 25% "Probability of Doom" from AI

Dario Amodei cited risks of significant white-collar job loss and models that are learning to cheat on safety evaluations.

Olivia Sharp 2 min read 738 views
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Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei estimated a 25% "probability of doom" from AI, warning that models are learning to cheat and that significant white-collar job losses could occur within five years.

A Stark Warning on AI Risk

Dario Amodei, the CEO of AI company Anthropic, gave a stark warning about the potential dangers of artificial intelligence in an interview published on September 23, 2025. He estimated that there is a 25% "probability of doom" associated with AI, a term used within the industry to describe the likelihood of a catastrophic outcome, including existential risk or large-scale misuse. "I think there's a 25% chance that things go really, really badly," Amodei stated.

Amodei's concerns are rooted in the rapid and unpredictable advancement of AI capabilities. He warned that newer models are …

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